Kalshi MLB Friday Trades: Yankees-Jays, Phillies-Brewers, Cubs-Giants, Braves-Mets

ByChinmay Vaidya


There are 15 games on Friday’s MLB slate, headlined by two key division clashes. The New York Yankees face the Toronto Blue Jays while the Atlanta Braves try to snap a two-game losing streak when they begin a three-game series against the New York Mets. We’re going to highlight the best MLB trades on Kalshi using recommendations from the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every game 10,000 times. Use the latest Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS for today’s MLB games to get a sign-up bonus:

Best MLB trades for Friday, June 12

  • Braves-Mets more than 7.5 runs
  • Blue Jays to win vs. Yankees
  • Phillies-Brewers more than 7.5 runs
  • Cubs to win vs. Giants

Braves-Mets more than 7.5 runs

Atlanta sends Spencer Strider (4-1, 4.00 ERA) to the bump on Friday as the Braves try to bounce back from two losses against the White Sox, both coming by one run. The Braves still have a substantial cushion in the NL East and the Mets haven’t rounded into form yet as contenders, so this could be an important weekend series when determining what to do at the trade deadline. New York will give the ball to Nolan McLean (3-4, 3.98 ERA). Despite two solid pitchers starting this game, the SportsLine model likes these teams to combine for more than 8 runs in 59.8% of simulations. You can trade for these teams to get more than 7.5 runs on Kalshi at 55 cents per share.

Blue Jays to win vs. Yankees

The Yankees have won four games in a row as they try to overtake the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East. Trey Yesavage (2-3, 3.16 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays trying to end that streak, while New York hands the ball to Ryan Weathers (2-4, 3.86 ERA). The Yankees are coming off a sweep of the Guardians and appear to be settling in despite missing Aaron Judge, but the SportsLine model has Toronto winning in 62% of simulations. A Blue Jays win on Kalshi is trading at 50 cents per share.

Trade on Braves-Mets, Blue Jays-Yankees and more with the latest Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS:

Phillies-Brewers more than 7.5 runs

Milwaukee has dropped two games in a row, which feels like more of an issue than it actually is given how tight the NL Central has been this season. The Brewers will try to get right against the Phillies when they send Jacob Misiorowski (7-2, 1.50 ERA) to the mound on Friday. Misiorowski has won each of his last four starts. Philadelphia gives the ball to Andrew Painter (1-7, 6.21 ERA) and that’s likely why the SportsLine model has these teams topping 7.5 runs in 72.8% of simulations. Trading for these teams to get more than 7.5 runs at Kalshi is 52 cents per share.

Cubs to win vs. Giants

San Francisco is likely going to be a seller at the trade deadline but this is the start of what could be the last stretch to potentially salvage the season. The Giants send out Landen Roupp (5-6, 4.00 ERA) on Friday against the Cubs, who has lost seven of their last 10 games. Chicago gives the ball to Javier Assad (3-1, 4.73 ERA). The SportsLine model has Chicago prevailing in 47% of simulations and you can trade for the Cubs to win at 47 cents per share on Kalshi. Use the latest Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS to trade on Friday’s MLB games:





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